{"id":1054975,"date":"2026-06-12T13:29:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T10:29:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/?p=1054975"},"modified":"2026-06-12T13:29:54","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T10:29:54","slug":"%d7%99%d7%a4%d7%a8%d7%a6%d7%95-%d7%90%d7%aa-%d7%aa%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%aa-%d7%94%d7%96%d7%9b%d7%95%d7%9b%d7%99%d7%aa-%d7%91%d7%93%d7%a8%d7%9a-%d7%9c%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%a6%d7%97%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%a9%d7%a0%d7%99","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/en\/news\/1054975\/","title":{"rendered":"They will break through a &#039;glass ceiling&#039; on the way to a landslide victory: The two moves that will shape the political map are about to happen on the right."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>The Israeli left has changed its skin and its leaders in the current term like a snake shedding its skin, but the next two moves that will shape the political map are about to happen on the right. \u2022 Netanyahu identifies a critical group of seats in the center of the map that has never voted for the right, but sees it as the most suitable leader. \u2022 Shlomo Filber on the move that will capture the votes of the center and bring the right an overwhelming majority in the elections. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The next two moves that will complete the political map ahead of the elections, after the left has dealt its cards, will be a facelift of the Likud list and the establishment of a right-wing satellite party that will declare: &quot;We are joining the government headed by Netanyahu.&quot;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The right likes to say that they don&#039;t interfere in how the left distributes its mandates. And indeed, it was a long and fascinating process to watch the formation of the new party map on the left. A process that lasted more than two years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like a snake, the left replaced almost all the parties and their leaders. It ousted Gantz, Lapid, Merav Michael. It eliminated the state camp, Yesh Atid and Labor, and established in their place &#039;Behad&#039;, &#039;Yashar&#039; and &#039;The Democrats&#039; with Bennett, Eisenkot and Golan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like a soccer team that was relegated, or a company that went bankrupt, they replaced the CEO, management, and players, did a new branding, and returned to the market in an attempt to win again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the next two moves that will shape the political map are going to happen on the right: a facelift for the Likud, and a new right-wing satellite party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In Likud, Netanyahu understands that the current list, which was formed from the opposition stars in 2021, is irrelevant for 2027. The method - the primaries - also no longer works, and he is rushing to create an attractive list - through nominations or an organizing committee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Likud is the party with the highest voter loyalty in Israel, and in the end the vast majority always comes home. But to win clearly, you need to bring in another 5 seats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The level of success of Netanyahu&#039;s move will also reflect on the second and more fascinating move: Will a center-right party be established and who is its target audience?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A political paradox is taking place at the center of the political map. Since the summer of 2024, with the beepers and with Kalavi, and after the resignation of Gantz and Eisenkot, a group of about 5-7 seats of disillusioned people has emerged at the center of the map, who have never voted for the right, and who see Netanyahu as the most suitable prime minister at this time (according to the matching data) - but they have no party to choose from - and the current Likud is not an option at the moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, for two years now, many claimants to the throne have been roaming around in the same area code, courting the votes of those who elect them, but who are unable to rise: Hendel, Erdan, Shimchi, Edelstein, Shaked, and many extra-parliamentary organizations that arose after the protest and the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The reason why this demand and supply do not meet is simple: These voters want a security-oriented, Zionist, values-based center-right party whose leaders will explicitly declare, &quot;We are joining the right-wing bloc led by Netanyahu.&quot;. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But all those candidates and organizations are unable to declare this. They are still in the paradigm of forcing a change of government, contrary to the will of those potential voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The moves that will take place in the next two months in and around Likud will complete the party map and, to a large extent, will decisively decide the elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The right-wing bloc in my polls currently has between 63-65 seats. There is an argument that in order to carry out significant reforms, a more significant majority is needed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A center-right party partnering in a future coalition could result in a coalition of 68-70 seats - which would completely change the face of the political map in the coming years.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u05d4\u05e9\u05de\u05d0\u05dc \u05d4\u05d9\u05e9\u05e8\u05d0\u05dc\u05d9 \u05d4\u05d7\u05dc\u05d9\u05e3 \u05d0\u05ea \u05e2\u05d5\u05e8\u05d5 \u05d5\u05d0\u05ea \u05de\u05e0\u05d4\u05d9\u05d2\u05d9\u05d5 \u05d1\u05e7\u05d3\u05e0\u05e6\u05d9\u05d4 \u05d4\u05e0\u05d5\u05db\u05d7\u05d9\u05ea \u05db\u05de\u05d5 \u05e0\u05e9\u05dc \u05e0\u05d7\u05e9 - \u05d0\u05d1\u05dc \u05e9\u05e0\u05d9 \u05d4\u05de\u05d4\u05dc\u05db\u05d9\u05dd \u05d4\u05d1\u05d0\u05d9\u05dd, \u05e9\u05d9\u05e2\u05e6\u05d1\u05d5 \u05d0\u05ea \u05d4\u05de\u05e4\u05d4 \u05d4\u05e4\u05d5\u05dc\u05d9\u05d8\u05d9\u05ea, \u05e2\u05d5\u05de\u05d3\u05d9\u05dd \u05dc\u05d4\u05ea\u05e8\u05d7\u05e9 \u05d3\u05d5\u05d5\u05e7\u05d0 \u05d1\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05df \u2022 \u05e0\u05ea\u05e0\u05d9\u05d4\u05d5 \u05de\u05d6\u05d4\u05d4 \u05e7\u05d1\u05d5\u05e6\u05ea \u05de\u05e0\u05d3\u05d8\u05d9\u05dd \u05e7\u05e8\u05d9\u05d8\u05d9\u05ea \u05d1\u05de\u05e8\u05db\u05d6 \u05d4\u05de\u05e4\u05d4 \u05e9\u05de\u05e2\u05d5\u05dc\u05dd \u05dc\u05d0 \u05d4\u05e6\u05d1\u05d9\u05e2\u05d4 \u05dc\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05df, \u05d0\u05da \u05e8\u05d5\u05d0\u05d4 \u05d1\u05d5 \u05d0\u05ea \u05d4\u05de\u05e0\u05d4\u05d9\u05d2 \u05d4\u05de\u05ea\u05d0\u05d9\u05dd \u05d1\u05d9\u05d5\u05ea\u05e8 \u2022\u00a0\u05e9\u05dc\u05de\u05d4 \u05e4\u05d9\u05dc\u05d1\u05e8 \u05e2\u05dc \u05d4\u05de\u05d4\u05dc\u05da \u05e9\u05d9\u05db\u05d1\u05d5\u05e9 \u05d0\u05ea \u05e7\u05d5\u05dc\u05d5\u05ea \u05d4\u05de\u05e8\u05db\u05d6 \u05d5\u05d9\u05d2\u05d9\u05e9 \u05dc\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05df \u05e8\u05d5\u05d1 \u05de\u05d5\u05d7\u05e5 \u05d1\u05d1\u05d7\u05d9\u05e8\u05d5\u05ea","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":1054063,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[379,33681,21442],"class_list":["post-1054975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1","tag-379","tag-33681","tag-21442"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u05d9\u05e4\u05e8\u05e6\u05d5 &#039;\u05ea\u05e7\u05e8\u05ea \u05d6\u05db\u05d5\u05db\u05d9\u05ea&#039; \u05d1\u05d3\u05e8\u05da \u05dc\u05e0\u05d9\u05e6\u05d7\u05d5\u05df \u05de\u05d5\u05d7\u05e5: \u05e9\u05e0\u05d9 \u05d4\u05de\u05d4\u05dc\u05db\u05d9\u05dd \u05e9\u05d9\u05e2\u05e6\u05d1\u05d5 \u05d0\u05ea \u05d4\u05de\u05e4\u05d4 \u05d4\u05e4\u05d5\u05dc\u05d9\u05d8\u05d9\u05ea 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