{"id":1050383,"date":"2026-05-08T15:03:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T12:03:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/?p=1050383"},"modified":"2026-05-08T15:23:26","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T12:23:26","slug":"%d7%94%d7%a1%d7%95%d7%a7%d7%a8-%d7%a9%d7%9c%d7%9e%d7%94-%d7%a4%d7%99%d7%9c%d7%91%d7%a8-%d7%94%d7%94%d7%a9%d7%a4%d7%a2%d7%94-%d7%a9%d7%9c-%d7%97%d7%95%d7%a7-%d7%94%d7%92%d7%99%d7%95%d7%a1-%d7%a2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/en\/news\/1050383\/","title":{"rendered":"Pollster Shlomo Filber: &#039;The impact of the conscription law on Netanyahu bloc voters amounts to less than half a percent&#039;'"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>What will be the impact of the conscription law on Netanyahu bloc voters? <\/strong> According to strategic analyst Shlomo Filber, owner of the polling company &#039;NEXT DATA&#039;, it amounts to only half a percent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sefer.yadleachim.co.il\/?utm_source=ch10&amp;utm_medium=banner&amp;utm_id=yadleachim&amp;utm_content=sefer26\"><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#cf2e2e\" class=\"has-inline-color\">Yad L&#039;Achim&#039;s annual lottery has been launched for the 16th time - and you? You&#039;re winning big! \u2022 Promoter<\/mark><\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Filber wrote on his social media account:  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>An overwhelming majority of those who intend to support the coalition parties - 94% - will continue to support them even if the conscription law passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This week, the Knesset returns from recess, and the conscription law is back in our lives. For more than two and a half years, many interested political figures have been using the law for political gain - and in the hope that it will drive a wedge in the coalition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At first they thought they would use it to bring forward elections, and now they hope to shift votes to the opposition. But it turns out that 95% of the voters will not change their vote even if the law passes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among those undecided, only 181% say that passing the law will affect their vote. That is, less than half a percent of the bloc&#039;s voters will not vote if the law passes. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In contrast, failure to pass the law and continuing sanctions will result in &#039;voting suppression&#039; among ultra-Orthodox voters - estimates indicate a similar number of ultra-Orthodox will not come to vote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"837\" height=\"544\" src=\"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/HHyt_5XWQAEVo9R.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1050384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/HHyt_5XWQAEVo9R.png 837w, https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/HHyt_5XWQAEVo9R-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/HHyt_5XWQAEVo9R-768x499.png 768w, https:\/\/shtetel.co.il\/wp-content\/uploads\/HHyt_5XWQAEVo9R-18x12.png 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 837px) 100vw, 837px\" \/><figcaption><span class=\"media-credit\"> <\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In a week in which Hasmonean soldiers are already returning from operational activity in Lebanon, it appears from the commentators that the effect of the threat of such a law, which could topple a government or cause the right to lose power, has passed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After two years in which all the reservist organizations and MKs who thought politically of building on the law failed - it is worth adopting the model of Yinon Magal, David Zini, and Abinoam Emunah, the people who have so far recruited the most Haredim to the IDF.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u05d4\u05e4\u05e8\u05e9\u05df \u05d4\u05d0\u05e1\u05d8\u05e8\u05d8\u05d2\u05d9 \u05e9\u05dc\u05de\u05d4 \u05e4\u05d9\u05dc\u05d1\u05e8,  \u05d4\u05d1\u05e2\u05dc\u05d9\u05dd \u05e9\u05dc \u05d7\u05d1\u05e8\u05ea \u05d4\u05e1\u05e7\u05e8\u05d9\u05dd 'NEXT DATA', \u05de\u05e6\u05d9\u05d2 \u05e0\u05ea\u05d5\u05e0\u05d9\u05dd \u05dc\u05e4\u05d9\u05d4\u05dd \u05d4\u05e9\u05e4\u05e2\u05ea \u05d7\u05d5\u05e7 \u05d4\u05d2\u05d9\u05d5\u05e1 \u05e2\u05dc \u05db\u05d5\u05d5\u05e0\u05d5\u05ea \u05d4\u05e6\u05d1\u05e2\u05ea \u05ea\u05d5\u05de\u05db\u05d9 \u05d4\u05e7\u05d5\u05d0\u05dc\u05d9\u05e6\u05d9\u05d4 \u05d4\u05d9\u05d0 \u05e9\u05d5\u05dc\u05d9\u05ea \u2022 \u05de\u05e0\u05d2\u05d3 \u05d4\u05d5\u05d0 \u05de\u05d1\u05d4\u05d9\u05e8: \u05d0\u05d9 \u05d4\u05e2\u05d1\u05e8\u05ea \u05d4\u05d7\u05d5\u05e7 \u05d5\u05d4\u05de\u05e9\u05da \u05d4\u05e1\u05e0\u05e7\u05e6\u05d9\u05d5\u05ea \u05d9\u05d2\u05e8\u05d5\u05dd \u05dc'\u05d3\u05d9\u05db\u05d5\u05d9 \u05d4\u05e6\u05d1\u05e2\u05d4' \u05d1\u05e7\u05e8\u05d1 \u05d4\u05d1\u05d5\u05d7\u05e8\u05d9\u05dd \u05d4\u05d7\u05e8\u05d3\u05d9\u05dd","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":1049175,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[40469,183,442,21442],"class_list":["post-1050383","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1","tag-40469","tag-183","tag-442","tag-21442"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - 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