Shlomo Filber's poll: A shakeup in the bloc after Winter joins. Are he and Smotrich in?

Shtetl
August 28, 2026   
Photo: 
Yonatan Sindel/Flash90

Just three days after launching the 'Amach Yisrael' party, Ofer Winter recorded a significant achievement this evening (Thursday) in a survey by strategist and pollster Shlomo Filber published on Channel 14: his party passes the threshold for the first time and wins four seats.

This is a significant jump compared to the previous poll, which was conducted immediately after Winter announced his entry into the political system. At that time, Amach Yisrael won only 2.11% and did not pass the threshold.

Now, after launching the party, Winter has already entered the Knesset – and is changing the distribution of seats.

Who loses from Winter's entry?

Compared to the previous survey, Amach Yisrael's entry into the Knesset is accompanied by the loss of one seat in six different parties: Likud drops to 31 seats, Yashar to 23, Otzma Yehudit to 7, United Torah Judaism to 7, Yisrael Beiteinu to 6, and Religious Zionism drops to 4 seats.

The one that is actually strengthening at the same time is the joint list of Hadash, Ta'al, and Balad, which is adding two seats and climbing to 7.

According to the poll, Likud continues to be the largest party in Israel with 31 seats. Eisenkot's left-wing Yashar party receives 23 seats, Shas with 10 and the Democrats with 9.

United Torah Judaism, together with Otzma Yehudit and the Joint List, receive 7 seats each. Yisrael Beiteinu receives 6 seats, Ra'am 5, while Religious Zionism and Winter's Amach Yisrael close the list with 4 seats each.

Below the threshold is the Zehut party led by Moshe Feiglin with 1.7%, Beit Zionist-Reservists of Hili Trooper and Yoaz Hendel with 1.1%, Blue and White with 0.4%, HaAchdut with 0.3% and Noam with 0.3%.

In terms of blocs: The right-wing bloc wins 63 seats – a majority in the Knesset. The left-wing bloc has 45 seats and the Arab parties together win 12 seats.

Winter's entry into the Knesset, therefore, significantly changes the internal division within the camp, but in the current poll, the entire right-wing bloc still holds a majority of 63 seats.

Netanyahu leads by a wide margin on the question of suitability for the prime ministership. When asked who among the four individuals is most suitable to serve as prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu leads with 53%. Gadi Eisenkot receives 33%, Naftali Bennett with 8%, and Avigdor Lieberman with 6%.

Even in the head-to-head battle between Netanyahu and Eisenkot, the Prime Minister's advantage was maintained: 561% of respondents responded that Netanyahu was more suitable for the position, compared to 441% who chose Eisenkot.

The survey was conducted by NEXT DATA with the participation of 981 adults from the general population and was conducted today, August 27, 2026. Data analysis: Shlomo Filber.