Shlomo Filber: Smotrich's chances of being elected are higher than those of parties that claim to replace him

Shtetl
August 28, 2026   
Photo: 
Or Alexenberg, courtesy of Channel 14

After the launch of the Amach Yisrael party - which received 8 seats in a poll by the Direct Plus Institute on Channel i24 and 4 seats in a poll by Channel 14 - strategist and pollster Shlomo Filber presents 'Some Facts About Smotrich' / The Religious Zionist Party.'.

In a post he published on his X account, Filber wrote:

• The Haredi-Urdu-Settler base is worth close to 4 seats.

• In addition, there are about 65,000 'first-time voters' who grew up in the MMAD education system. A mandate and a half that are not counted by any of the pollsters.

• These voters are the most loyal. Even Winter doesn't take from them, but from the "lites," those who for four years have not been willing to hear about Smotrich and are grazing in foreign fields.

• Religious Zionist voters have always been here, even when journalists, 'commentators' and 'surveyors' have insisted in the last two years that they are 'disappearing' and have faded away.

• This is the party with the highest voter loyalty - second only to the Likud and the Haredim.

Filber adds: "There are many in the sector who like to be arrogant, mock, and especially to be different. In most of the five election campaigns. In fact, the mocking parties have failed to create an alternative.".

According to him, "As of today, Religious Zionism's chances of being in the next Knesset are higher than those of the parties that claim to replace it.".

Filber notes that "the parallel historical example for many years was the Marach party - a small, cohesive ideological nucleus that influenced the shaping of the state far beyond its power.".

"It's just that Meretz doesn't have a successor generation.".