Dramatic 'Direct Falls' poll: Ofer Winter shakes up the map with 8 seats, Deri only 7

Shtetl
August 27, 2026   
Photo: 
Chaim Goldberg/Flash90

After the launch of 'Amach Yisrael' led by Ofer Winter: Data from a survey by the Direct Polls Institute published this evening (Wednesday) on the i24 channel indicates that Winter's party is shaking up the right-wing bloc.

According to the pollsters, if the elections were held today, the Likud party would receive 26 seats - a decrease of five seats compared to a previous poll conducted a week ago. Eisenkot's left-wing party "Yashar" loses one seat, and receives 23 seats. The "Democrats" party also loses one seat, and stands at 10.

'Amach Yisrael, Winter's new party, is recording impressive figures, receiving 8 seats, which puts it in line with the middle parties.

Yisrael Beiteinu, United Torah Judaism, and Bennett's Together also registered 8 seats each, with Bennett's party losing one seat, and the rest remaining stable.

The Shas party loses one seat and drops to 7 seats, Otzma Yehudit remains stable with 6 seats, Ra'am strengthens by one seat to 6 seats, and the Joint List also registers 6 seats. The list is closed by the Religious Zionist Party, which loses one seat and stands at 4 seats, and is on the verge of reaching the electoral threshold.

The parties that do not pass the threshold are:
 Feiglin's identity (1.3%)
Economic (1.1%)
Zionist House (below 1%)
Unity (below 1%)
Israel First (under 1%)
Blue and White (below 1%)
Welcome to Israel (below 1%).

The blocs' map calls for a distribution of 59 seats to the coalition that includes Winter, 49 seats to the opposition, and 12 seats to the Arab parties.

The survey also asked: Which political camp do you think Ofer Winter's party is likely to belong to? 16 percent thought it belonged to the camp of Netanyahu's opponents, 64 thought it belonged to the camp of Netanyahu's supporters, and 20 percent responded that they did not know.

The sample was collected and compiled by Direct Polls Ltd., headed by Tzuriel Sharon, for the i24NEWS channel, on August 26, 2026, using a digital system combined with a panel, among 532 adult respondents (18+) who constitute a representative sample of the general population in Israel. The statistical sampling error is ±4.2% with a probability of 95%.